NAR Real Estate Forecast Summit

We know that every day in the life of a REALTOR® is tightly scheduled and often unpredictable. That’s why we’re distilling into one hour the most recent data on the commercial markets, with insights that will help you navigate 2023 with confidence.
Clear your calendar now for March 22, 12-1 p.m. ET, for NAR’s next Real Estate Forecast Summit. NAR Chief Economist Dr. Lawrence Yun and guest, Dr. Caitlin Sugrue Walter from the National Multifamily Housing Council, will cover the commercial and multifamily sectors.


October 2022 Commercial Market Insights

Cover of the October 2022 Commercial Market Insights report

After the strong rebound for the U.S. economy in 2021, growth in 2022 has slowed in the face of rising inflation, the household incomes squeeze, and geopolitical events. While the economy continues to deal with elevated inflation, there is a slowdown in the growth of commercial real estate.

Multifamily and industrial properties were the leading sectors in 2022. With healthy balance sheets, consumer demand boosted retail, multifamily, and industrial asset classes. While the industrial boom continues to show no signs of stopping, multifamily absorption and rent growth are decelerating. Multifamily absorption in the last four quarters was below the pre-pandemic levels, in the range of 60,000-70,000 units. In the meantime, rents rose year-over-year at a slower pace, by less than a double-digit percentage. However, multifamily housing demand remains relatively strong. Considering rising mortgage rates and home prices, people may be forced to rent for longer due to decreasing affordability.

As consumers cut back on spending due to elevated inflation, the net absorption of retail store space decreased to 16 million sq. ft. in the third quarter of the year. However, neighborhood retail that offers in-person services continues to advance. Net absorption for neighborhood centers rose by 35 percentage points compared to the second quarter of the year.

As the country navigates hybrid work, the office sector continues to struggle. Although more people return to their offices, after four quarters with positive net absorption, demand for office space dropped as net absorption turned negative again.

Inflation, interest rates, supply chain, and geopolitical events are the main factors that will determine how commercial real estate will perform in the following months. The National Association of REALTORS® will keep you informed monthly about the developments in commercial real estate.


Commercial Magazine, Create, Launches

There’s a new quarterly magazine just for you. The first issue of Create, powered by REALTOR® Magazine, features commercial pros who are bringing new life to underused spaces; an energy expert who helps commercial building owners and managers plan solar installations, and three rent-tech entrepreneurs. Also, read about the redevelopment of Atlanta’s iconic Colony Square.